Apertura Finals Quarter-finals
Global 1-1
Municipal Limeño vs Cacahuatique analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.3%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.8%
8.1%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+249%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Municipal Limeño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
CDC
1 - 0
MUN
21%
26%
53%
|
69 | 33 | 36 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2024 |
MUN
0 - 2
AGU
47%
27%
26%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
MUN
2 - 0
CDP
57%
24%
19%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2024 |
FAS
1 - 2
MUN
44%
26%
30%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
MET
0 - 3
MUN
44%
27%
30%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Cacahuatique
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
CDC
1 - 0
MUN
21%
26%
53%
|
33 | 69 | 36 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2024 |
CDP
1 - 2
CDC
68%
19%
13%
|
32 | 62 | 30 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
CDC
2 - 0
FAS
21%
26%
54%
|
29 | 69 | 40 | +3 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
AGU
3 - 1
CDC
73%
18%
9%
|
29 | 69 | 40 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2024 |
CDC
1 - 2
MET
19%
23%
58%
|
29 | 68 | 39 | 0 |