Municipal Limeño vs Independiente FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.7%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
22.9%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Municipal Limeño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
AGU
1 - 0
MUN
47%
27%
26%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
MUN
1 - 1
FAS
40%
28%
32%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2019 |
SFC
2 - 2
MUN
28%
27%
46%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
ALI
4 - 0
MUN
77%
16%
7%
|
56 | 76 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2019 |
MUN
1 - 2
CDM
85%
11%
4%
|
57 | 15 | 42 | -1 |
Matches
Independiente FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
IND
0 - 1
ALI
7%
22%
71%
|
53 | 76 | 23 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2019 |
VEN
0 - 1
IND
6%
12%
82%
|
53 | 12 | 41 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2019 |
IND
1 - 1
CDP
18%
19%
63%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
CHA
1 - 0
IND
39%
27%
35%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2019 |
IND
1 - 2
FIR
63%
21%
15%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | -1 |