Municipal Limeño vs Alianza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.9%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
30.3%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+30%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
1º
6º
3º
45
1º
9º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
45 | 45 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
39 | 39 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 38 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 32 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 32 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 30 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 17 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 17 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 12 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Municipal Limeño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2024 |
FUE
1 - 2
MUN
17%
25%
58%
|
67 | 33 | 34 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
JOC
0 - 1
MUN
37%
26%
37%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2024 |
MUN
2 - 2
FIR
38%
27%
36%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
MUN
0 - 0
FAS
43%
27%
31%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2024 |
MUN
2 - 0
MET
40%
28%
33%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Alianza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2024 |
ALI
0 - 0
FAS
48%
26%
26%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
ALI
3 - 1
FUE
74%
18%
9%
|
68 | 33 | 35 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2024 |
ALI
6 - 1
CDD
54%
25%
21%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
CDP
0 - 2
ALI
35%
27%
38%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
SAN
1 - 1
ALI
25%
26%
49%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |