Municipal Limeño vs Alianza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.4%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.8%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
49.7%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+30%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
6º
12º
9º
32
3º
7º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 37 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 34 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
32 | 32 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 32 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 30 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 29 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
28 | 28 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
12 | 12 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 11 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Municipal Limeño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2023 |
MUN
1 - 3
MET
31%
27%
42%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
JOC
1 - 0
MUN
59%
22%
18%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
AGU
1 - 0
MUN
62%
22%
16%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
FUE
1 - 2
MUN
15%
22%
62%
|
59 | 18 | 41 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
MUN
2 - 1
ONC
36%
28%
36%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Alianza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2023 |
CDP
0 - 2
ALI
19%
25%
56%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
ALI
0 - 0
ONC
64%
22%
15%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
ALI
2 - 2
CDD
59%
23%
18%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2023 |
FAS
0 - 0
ALI
37%
27%
36%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
SAN
0 - 2
ALI
20%
24%
56%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |