Municipal Limeño vs Alianza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.9%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.6%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
44.9%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Municipal Limeño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2018 |
MET
0 - 1
MUN
41%
27%
32%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
SAN
0 - 0
MUN
65%
20%
15%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2018 |
MUN
1 - 1
SAN
17%
18%
65%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
CDD
0 - 0
MUN
34%
29%
37%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
MUN
1 - 2
SAN
32%
27%
41%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Alianza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2018 |
ALI
0 - 0
FAS
59%
23%
18%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
ALI
1 - 0
SAN
51%
23%
26%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | -2 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
ALI
2 - 0
AGU
68%
19%
13%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2018 |
AGU
2 - 3
ALI
25%
25%
50%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
ALI
4 - 0
SFC
73%
17%
10%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | +1 |