Municipal Limeño vs Alianza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.8%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
41.8%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Municipal Limeño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2018 |
MUN
1 - 1
CDD
60%
23%
17%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
SAN
2 - 0
MUN
67%
20%
13%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2018 |
MUN
3 - 2
CHA
50%
26%
25%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
PAS
2 - 1
MUN
38%
28%
34%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
MUN
2 - 3
FAS
48%
27%
25%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Alianza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2018 |
ALI
2 - 1
FIR
70%
19%
11%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
CDD
0 - 0
ALI
17%
24%
59%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
CHA
1 - 1
ALI
22%
25%
53%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
ALI
0 - 0
PAS
74%
17%
9%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2018 |
FAS
1 - 2
ALI
26%
27%
47%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |