Municipal Liberia vs San Carlos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.3%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
42.6%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
5º
9º
8º
39
2º
5º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
46 | 46 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
41 | 41 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
39 | 39 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 35 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 27 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
26 | 26 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 22 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
21 | 21 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 20 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 15 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Municipal Liberia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2024 |
CSC
2 - 1
MUN
47%
24%
29%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
MUN
1 - 1
SPO
47%
26%
28%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
GUA
2 - 0
MUN
40%
26%
34%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
MUN
4 - 2
PFC
59%
23%
18%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2024 |
LDA
2 - 2
MUN
56%
23%
21%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
San Carlos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2024 |
SAN
0 - 0
CSH
48%
26%
26%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
SAN
2 - 2
GUA
54%
25%
22%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
LDA
3 - 1
SAN
43%
25%
32%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2024 |
SAN
1 - 1
PER
71%
19%
11%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2024 |
CSC
4 - 4
SAN
35%
26%
39%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |