Municipal Liberia vs Pérez Zeledón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.2%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
17.2%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
6
7º
11º
7º
12
2º
11º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
14 | 39 |
1º
|
29% | |
|
6º
|
10 | 38 |
2º
|
15% | |
|
2º
|
12 | 37 |
3º
|
20% | |
|
5º
|
11 | 36 |
4º
|
12% | |
|
8º
|
7 | 35 |
5º
|
7.5% | |
|
7º
|
8 | 30 |
6º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
6 | 28 |
7º
|
14% | |
|
11º
|
4 | 28 |
8º
|
14% | |
|
4º
|
11 | 28 |
9º
|
13% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 26 |
10º
|
18% | |
|
|
3º
|
12 | 25 |
11º
|
22% | |
|
12º
|
1 | 14 |
12º
|
77% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
13% | 4.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
87% | 95.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Municipal Liberia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
MUN
2 - 3
SAP
39%
26%
35%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2025 |
SPO
2 - 1
MUN
49%
24%
27%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
MUN
0 - 1
SAN
59%
22%
19%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2025 |
MUN
4 - 0
SAN
60%
22%
18%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
CSC
0 - 1
MUN
52%
24%
25%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Pérez Zeledón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
PER
1 - 0
SAN
24%
25%
51%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
PFC
2 - 1
PER
46%
27%
27%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2025 |
PER
0 - 1
CSH
30%
28%
42%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2025 |
LDA
0 - 0
PER
69%
19%
12%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2025 |
GUA
0 - 1
PER
59%
24%
17%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | +1 |