Municipal Liberia vs Carmelita analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.1%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
37.3%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Municipal Liberia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
UNI
2 - 0
MUN
52%
26%
23%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2018 |
LDA
4 - 0
MUN
68%
20%
12%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
MUN
3 - 1
LFC
27%
25%
48%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2018 |
SAN
2 - 0
MUN
65%
21%
15%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
MUN
0 - 0
GUA
40%
28%
33%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Carmelita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
ADC
1 - 4
GUA
45%
28%
28%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2018 |
LFC
0 - 1
ADC
57%
23%
20%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
ADC
0 - 1
PER
33%
27%
40%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2018 |
SAP
3 - 1
ADC
62%
21%
16%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2018 |
CSH
0 - 1
ADC
60%
22%
18%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |