Municipal Liberia vs Santa Rosa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
23.7%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Municipal Liberia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
MUN
1 - 0
JFC
41%
26%
33%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2020 |
STR
1 - 1
MUN
35%
25%
40%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2020 |
MUN
0 - 0
PFC
35%
27%
38%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
LAU
1 - 2
MUN
73%
17%
10%
|
43 | 57 | 14 | +2 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
MUN
0 - 1
GUA
32%
24%
44%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Santa Rosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
LAU
3 - 2
STR
73%
17%
10%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2020 |
STR
1 - 1
MUN
35%
25%
40%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
STR
1 - 1
GUA
25%
23%
52%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
PFC
2 - 1
STR
66%
20%
15%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
JFC
1 - 1
STR
60%
21%
19%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |