Municipal Challhuahuacho vs Miguel Grau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.5%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.6%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
2.3%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.6%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.3%
74.2%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
15%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.4%
0-3
10.9%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
14.8%
0-4
5.9%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
-4
7.6%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
3.2%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Municipal Challhuahuacho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
GRA
1 - 0
CHA
69%
17%
14%
|
5 | 13 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
CHA
0 - 1
JIN
31%
21%
48%
|
5 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
CAN
3 - 1
CHA
45%
22%
34%
|
7 | 8 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Miguel Grau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
GRA
1 - 0
CHA
69%
17%
14%
|
13 | 5 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
DCE
1 - 2
GRA
22%
20%
58%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
GRA
3 - 2
VRA
64%
18%
18%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2021 |
AFC
4 - 0
GRA
22%
20%
58%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | -2 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
GRA
2 - 2
AFC
68%
17%
15%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |