Munera vs Casasimarro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.1%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
22.4%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.6%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
-54%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Munera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
CON
1 - 1
MUN
75%
15%
11%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
MUN
1 - 2
CVA
17%
20%
64%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2024 |
MUN
0 - 1
TAR
46%
24%
30%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
MUN
1 - 0
DBA
38%
23%
39%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
BON
3 - 3
MUN
55%
21%
24%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Casasimarro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
CAS
4 - 0
DBA
21%
22%
57%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
BON
3 - 1
CAS
76%
14%
10%
|
8 | 11 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
CAS
0 - 1
TAR
33%
25%
43%
|
8 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
ATL
4 - 2
CAS
74%
16%
10%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
ALP
2 - 0
CAS
83%
11%
6%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | 0 |