Mumbai FC vs Churchill Brothers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.5%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
4%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.1%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.3%
61.3%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
14.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.3%
0-2
12.7%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mumbai FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
MUM
2 - 1
PRA
29%
26%
46%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
EAS
2 - 0
MUM
70%
19%
12%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 2013 |
UNI
2 - 2
MUM
43%
24%
33%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2012 |
MUM
0 - 0
DEM
13%
20%
67%
|
50 | 66 | 16 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 2012 |
MUM
2 - 1
EAS
27%
28%
45%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Churchill Brothers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
EAS
0 - 3
CHU
38%
26%
36%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
CHU
2 - 1
UNI
83%
12%
6%
|
65 | 48 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2013 |
CHU
3 - 1
PAI
86%
10%
4%
|
65 | 45 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2013 |
CHU
6 - 0
SHI
84%
11%
5%
|
64 | 47 | 17 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
CHU
8 - 4
SPO
79%
13%
8%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |