Mumbai City vs Mohammedan SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.4%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.6%
13%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-38%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
3º
10º
4º
11
4º
12º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
46 | 53 |
1º
|
96.5% | |
|
3º
|
34 | 44 |
2º
|
39.5% | |
|
2º
|
36 | 43 |
3º
|
35.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
31 | 38 |
4º
|
50% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 36 |
5º
|
18% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 35 |
6º
|
32% | |
|
6º
|
28 | 35 |
7º
|
21.5% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 31 |
8º
|
24.5% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 31 |
9º
|
23.5% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 28 |
10º
|
33% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 25 |
11º
|
58% | |
|
12º
|
13 | 20 |
12º
|
62% | |
|
|
13º
|
11 | 15 |
13º
|
74.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
5% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
89.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
5.5% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mumbai City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2025 |
MIN
1 - 1
MUM
29%
25%
47%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
MUM
0 - 3
JAM
48%
26%
27%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2025 |
EAS
2 - 3
MUM
37%
25%
38%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Dec. 2024 |
MUM
0 - 3
NOR
50%
25%
26%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
MUM
1 - 0
CHE
53%
24%
23%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Mohammedan SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2025 |
MOH
2 - 2
CHE
32%
26%
43%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
BEN
0 - 1
MOH
67%
21%
12%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | +1 |
| 03 Jan. 2025 |
NOR
0 - 0
MOH
70%
19%
12%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2024 |
MOH
0 - 0
DEL
18%
22%
61%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
KER
3 - 0
MOH
65%
21%
15%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | -1 |