Mumbai City vs Goa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.4%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
37.1%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
3º
10º
5º
36
1º
11º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
46 | 53 |
1º
|
96.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
36 | 44 |
2º
|
58.5% | |
|
3º
|
34 | 44 |
3º
|
44% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 36 |
4º
|
20% | |
|
|
6º
|
28 | 36 |
5º
|
18.5% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 35 |
6º
|
24.5% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 35 |
7º
|
25% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 31 |
8º
|
24% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 31 |
9º
|
25% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 28 |
10º
|
32.5% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 25 |
11º
|
59% | |
|
12º
|
13 | 18 |
12º
|
61% | |
|
13º
|
11 | 16 |
13º
|
70% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 3% |
|
Next round
|
4% | 58.5% |
|
Play-offs
|
76% | 38.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
20% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mumbai City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2025 |
MUM
0 - 0
EAS
50%
26%
25%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
MUM
3 - 0
MOH
65%
22%
13%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2025 |
MIN
1 - 1
MUM
29%
25%
47%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
MUM
0 - 3
JAM
48%
26%
27%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2025 |
EAS
2 - 3
MUM
37%
25%
38%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Goa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2025 |
GOA
2 - 1
DEL
44%
25%
32%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
JAM
3 - 1
GOA
42%
25%
33%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
GOA
2 - 0
CHE
57%
22%
21%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
GOA
1 - 0
EAS
58%
23%
20%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2025 |
NOR
1 - 1
GOA
35%
25%
41%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |