Mülheimer FC 97 vs Sonsbeck analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.5%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
38.8%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
7º
15º
13º
24
8º
18º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
42 | 78 |
1º
|
75.5% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 70 |
2º
|
42% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 66 |
3º
|
22.5% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 65 |
4º
|
27.5% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 62 |
5º
|
26% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 60 |
6º
|
26.5% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 51 |
7º
|
24.5% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 48 |
8º
|
19.5% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 44 |
9º
|
18% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 44 |
10º
|
10.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
24 | 43 |
11º
|
12.5% | |
|
15º
|
17 | 41 |
12º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
18 | 37 |
13º
|
16.5% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 36 |
14º
|
20% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 35 |
15º
|
21% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 31 |
16º
|
29.5% | |
|
17º
|
12 | 24 |
17º
|
41% | |
|
18º
|
9 | 21 |
18º
|
60% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
85% | 96.5% |
|
Relegation
|
15% | 3.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mülheimer FC 97
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
SFB
0 - 0
MFC
65%
19%
17%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
MFC
2 - 0
NET
43%
21%
36%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2024 |
SFN
2 - 2
MFC
40%
22%
39%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
MFC
3 - 4
FCB
35%
24%
41%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2024 |
MEE
1 - 1
MFC
64%
17%
19%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Sonsbeck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
SON
2 - 2
SVB
55%
22%
24%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2024 |
SON
2 - 0
VFB
22%
23%
55%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
TDV
0 - 2
SON
29%
23%
49%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
SWE
3 - 0
SON
64%
20%
16%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2024 |
SON
3 - 0
NET
57%
22%
22%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | +1 |