Mülheimer FC 97 vs Germania Ratingen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.6%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
5%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.2%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
62.5%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+38%
-39%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
9º
18º
14º
52
2º
9º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 64 |
2º
|
57.5% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 63 |
3º
|
57.5% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 58 |
4º
|
57.5% | |
|
6º
|
52 | 55 |
5º
|
22.5% | |
|
5º
|
54 | 54 |
6º
|
48.5% | |
|
15º
|
34 | 53 |
7º
|
4.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
52 | 53 |
8º
|
23.5% | |
|
8º
|
44 | 45 |
9º
|
71.5% | |
|
9º
|
42 | 43 |
10º
|
38% | |
|
10º
|
41 | 42 |
11º
|
36% | |
|
11º
|
41 | 42 |
12º
|
55.5% | |
|
12º
|
37 | 38 |
13º
|
27% | |
|
|
13º
|
37 | 38 |
14º
|
21% | |
|
14º
|
35 | 36 |
15º
|
35% | |
|
16º
|
34 | 35 |
16º
|
52.5% | |
|
17º
|
33 | 34 |
17º
|
81.5% | |
|
18º
|
29 | 29 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mülheimer FC 97
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
SFB
2 - 1
MFC
80%
12%
8%
|
26 | 41 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
SWE
2 - 1
MFC
72%
16%
12%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
MFC
1 - 2
DJK
79%
13%
8%
|
26 | 14 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
MEE
2 - 3
MFC
71%
15%
14%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
MFC
1 - 0
SON
28%
22%
50%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | +2 |
Matches
Germania Ratingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
GRA
1 - 0
SWE
54%
23%
24%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
DJK
1 - 3
GRA
8%
13%
79%
|
42 | 15 | 27 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
GRA
2 - 1
MEE
69%
19%
13%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
SON
0 - 1
GRA
21%
23%
56%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
GRA
4 - 0
NET
63%
21%
16%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | +1 |