Muleño CF vs Lorca Deportiva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.8%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
6%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.6%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
58.4%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.6%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Muleño CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
MIN
3 - 2
MUL
41%
25%
35%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
MUL
2 - 1
UCA
32%
26%
43%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2020 |
MUL
0 - 0
OLI
58%
21%
21%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2019 |
CFC
0 - 1
MUL
46%
24%
30%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
MUL
0 - 2
MAZ
38%
24%
38%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Lorca Deportiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
AGU
0 - 3
LOR
23%
24%
53%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
LOR
1 - 2
MIN
83%
12%
6%
|
39 | 22 | 17 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2020 |
LOR
2 - 0
UCA
70%
18%
13%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2019 |
OLI
0 - 1
LOR
19%
22%
59%
|
38 | 21 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2019 |
LOR
0 - 3
OSA
6%
16%
78%
|
38 | 82 | 44 | 0 |