Muleño CF vs Independiente Ceutí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.8%
Win probability
2.81
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.9%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.3%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.9%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.3%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
11.7%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
11.7%
5.4%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+51%
-53%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Muleño CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
RAA
3 - 1
MUL
25%
25%
51%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
MUL
2 - 0
CLU
71%
17%
12%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
PLU
0 - 1
MUL
42%
25%
34%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
MUL
2 - 4
YEC
61%
21%
18%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
CDB
3 - 3
MUL
39%
24%
37%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente Ceutí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
CEU
1 - 3
ABA
8%
15%
77%
|
9 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
CHU
2 - 0
CEU
77%
15%
7%
|
9 | 19 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
CEU
0 - 3
CLU
17%
20%
63%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
EEP
3 - 1
CEU
40%
23%
37%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
CEU
2 - 2
SAN
21%
22%
57%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | 0 |