Mulbarton Wanderers vs Downham Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.7%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
20.5%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mulbarton Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
MUL
4 - 1
ELY
85%
11%
4%
|
28 | 12 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2024 |
FAK
2 - 2
MUL
29%
24%
48%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
MUL
3 - 1
HFC
78%
14%
8%
|
27 | 13 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
DTF
5 - 1
MUL
28%
22%
51%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | -2 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
DER
5 - 6
MUL
47%
23%
29%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Downham Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2024 |
HFC
1 - 1
DTF
14%
18%
68%
|
23 | 11 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
HTF
1 - 2
DTF
45%
22%
33%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
THE
3 - 2
DTF
61%
20%
20%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
DTF
5 - 1
MUL
28%
22%
51%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | +3 |
| 27 Feb. 2024 |
FAK
0 - 2
DTF
50%
22%
29%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |