Mukura Victory vs Sunrise analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.6%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
20.3%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
6º
13º
6º
34
4º
12º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
63 | 63 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 61 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
34 | 37 |
10º
|
77.5% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
11º
|
77.5% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
30 | 30 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
17 | 17 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
CAF Confederation Cup
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mukura Victory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
BUG
0 - 1
MUK
46%
27%
27%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
MUK
2 - 1
GFC
42%
26%
32%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
MUK
0 - 1
RWA
56%
21%
23%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
POL
2 - 0
MUK
54%
24%
22%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
RFC
1 - 1
MUK
37%
24%
39%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Sunrise
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
RWA
2 - 0
SUN
44%
23%
33%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
POL
2 - 1
SUN
57%
23%
20%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2023 |
ASK
2 - 2
SUN
55%
24%
21%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
SUN
1 - 2
MAR
63%
20%
17%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
SUN
0 - 1
APR
47%
26%
27%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | -1 |