Muğlaspor vs Çayelispor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
15.8%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+38%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
7
2º
10º
10º
2
9º
13º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
7 | 61 |
1º
|
33% | |
|
4º
|
6 | 59 |
2º
|
23.5% | |
|
11º
|
3 | 57 |
3º
|
19.5% | |
|
6º
|
6 | 53 |
4º
|
8.5% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 49 |
5º
|
11.5% | |
|
8º
|
4 | 46 |
6º
|
7.5% | |
|
9º
|
4 | 46 |
7º
|
12% | |
|
5º
|
6 | 45 |
8º
|
10.5% | |
|
7º
|
6 | 45 |
9º
|
12% | |
|
|
2º
|
7 | 43 |
10º
|
14.5% | |
|
14º
|
1 | 42 |
11º
|
9% | |
|
|
12º
|
2 | 34 |
12º
|
20% | |
|
3º
|
7 | 30 |
13º
|
24.5% | |
|
15º
|
1 | 21 |
14º
|
24.5% | |
|
13º
|
2 | 19 |
15º
|
29.5% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 19 |
16º
|
37% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
1% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
2.5% | 0.5% |
|
Next round
|
24.5% | 4% |
|
Mid-table
|
70.5% | 76.5% |
|
Relegation
|
1.5% | 19% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Muğlaspor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
YAS
1 - 2
MUL
52%
24%
24%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
KST
2 - 2
MUL
58%
20%
22%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
MUL
2 - 2
BUR
17%
24%
59%
|
32 | 45 | 13 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2021 |
KAR
4 - 0
MUL
55%
22%
22%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2021 |
MUL
3 - 0
BAY
29%
26%
45%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
Çayelispor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
CAY
0 - 0
SIL
19%
23%
58%
|
18 | 47 | 29 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1994 |
RIZ
4 - 0
CAY
88%
9%
3%
|
22 | 42 | 20 | -4 |
| 08 May. 1994 |
CAY
5 - 1
KAR
30%
26%
44%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | +2 |
| 01 May. 1994 |
ART
3 - 0
CAY
65%
21%
15%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1994 |
CAY
0 - 1
ERZ
22%
26%
51%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | -1 |