La Muela vs Morata CD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.7%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.1%
4-0
8%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.5%
3-0
12.5%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.5%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.4%
5.9%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Muela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
LMU
2 - 2
CFB
75%
17%
9%
|
26 | 15 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
BEL
1 - 0
LMU
14%
21%
65%
|
28 | 15 | 13 | -2 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
LMU
1 - 1
CDD
81%
14%
6%
|
28 | 11 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
CDA
2 - 2
LMU
10%
18%
72%
|
29 | 7 | 22 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
LMU
1 - 1
UDV
80%
14%
7%
|
29 | 12 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Morata CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
CFV
3 - 0
CDM
75%
16%
9%
|
12 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
CDM
1 - 1
ICF
19%
21%
60%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
LAA
2 - 0
CDM
73%
17%
10%
|
12 | 20 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
CDM
1 - 2
CEL
35%
24%
41%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
SDB
4 - 0
CDM
80%
14%
7%
|
12 | 27 | 15 | 0 |