La Muela vs Brea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.8%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
12%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.5%
8.8%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Muela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
BEL
1 - 0
LMU
14%
21%
65%
|
28 | 15 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
LMU
1 - 1
CDD
81%
14%
6%
|
28 | 11 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
CDA
2 - 2
LMU
10%
18%
72%
|
29 | 7 | 22 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
LMU
1 - 1
UDV
80%
14%
7%
|
29 | 12 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
CDU
2 - 0
LMU
12%
19%
68%
|
32 | 11 | 21 | -3 |
Matches
Brea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
CFB
2 - 3
CFV
36%
24%
40%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
ICF
2 - 0
CFB
46%
24%
30%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
CFB
2 - 1
LAA
28%
25%
46%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
CEL
1 - 0
CFB
42%
22%
36%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
MAL
2 - 1
CFB
34%
24%
42%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |