Muang Thong United vs Samut Songkhram analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.7%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
18.3%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Muang Thong United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2013 |
TOT
1 - 2
MUA
44%
26%
30%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
MUA
2 - 0
POL
55%
24%
21%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
BAN
1 - 1
MUA
29%
27%
44%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2013 |
MUA
0 - 1
URA
26%
24%
50%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
MUA
2 - 1
CHI
54%
24%
22%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Samut Songkhram
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2013 |
SAM
2 - 1
POL
43%
28%
29%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
CHI
0 - 0
SAM
54%
25%
21%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
SAM
1 - 2
BUR
40%
28%
32%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
SON
1 - 1
SAM
53%
26%
21%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2013 |
CHA
1 - 0
SAM
57%
24%
19%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |