Muang Thong United vs Nong Bua Pitchaya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.6%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
15.7%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
3º
12º
4º
18
13º
16º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
47 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
84% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
84% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 35 |
10º
|
51.5% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
51.5% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 33 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
13º
|
48.5% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 30 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
18 | 21 |
15º
|
50.5% | |
|
15º
|
19 | 19 |
16º
|
50.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Muang Thong United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
MUA
2 - 0
KHU
73%
17%
10%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2023 |
MUA
3 - 1
LWA
64%
21%
15%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
PRA
0 - 1
MUA
31%
27%
42%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
MUA
1 - 0
BEC
50%
24%
26%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
SIN
2 - 3
MUA
46%
25%
29%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Nong Bua Pitchaya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
PRA
5 - 1
NBP
46%
27%
27%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
NBP
1 - 2
BEC
30%
27%
43%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
LWA
1 - 0
NBP
36%
28%
36%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
NBP
0 - 1
BUR
31%
27%
42%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
BAN
1 - 3
NBP
56%
24%
20%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | +2 |