MTV Ingolstadt vs Würzburger FV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.2%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
20.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MTV Ingolstadt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 1979 |
BUR
0 - 1
MTV
39%
27%
34%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1979 |
MTV
1 - 4
SGF
39%
27%
35%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1979 |
HOM
0 - 2
MTV
71%
18%
11%
|
58 | 75 | 17 | +2 |
| 19 May. 1979 |
MTV
3 - 2
OFC
25%
24%
52%
|
57 | 74 | 17 | +1 |
| 12 May. 1979 |
WWO
2 - 1
MTV
69%
19%
13%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Würzburger FV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 1979 |
WUR
0 - 0
KSC
36%
27%
38%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1979 |
WUR
4 - 1
HOM
32%
27%
42%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | +2 |
| 01 Jun. 1979 |
OFC
6 - 1
WUR
77%
15%
8%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1979 |
WUR
0 - 0
WWO
39%
30%
32%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1979 |
SCF
1 - 0
WUR
61%
22%
17%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |