MTV Ingolstadt vs SpVgg Stegaurach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.8%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
9%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
11.7%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MTV Ingolstadt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2001 |
MTV
1 - 2
WEI
54%
24%
22%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2001 |
ANS
4 - 2
MTV
57%
22%
22%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2001 |
MTV
3 - 0
FCS
71%
18%
11%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2001 |
ISM
2 - 1
MTV
43%
25%
32%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2001 |
MTV
2 - 2
SAN
67%
20%
13%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
SpVgg Stegaurach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2001 |
SVS
2 - 2
WEI
26%
27%
47%
|
17 | 35 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2001 |
SVL
2 - 2
SVS
54%
22%
24%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2001 |
SCS
5 - 1
SVS
69%
18%
13%
|
18 | 32 | 14 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2001 |
FCS
3 - 0
SVS
60%
21%
19%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2001 |
SVS
0 - 5
BAY
38%
26%
37%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | -2 |