MTV Ingolstadt vs SC Freiburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.2%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
31.7%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MTV Ingolstadt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 1979 |
SVS
5 - 1
MTV
68%
19%
13%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1979 |
MTV
4 - 2
KSC
35%
27%
39%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | +2 |
| 28 Apr. 1979 |
MTV
7 - 1
FRE
38%
26%
36%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | +2 |
| 24 Apr. 1979 |
BAU
1 - 0
MTV
60%
19%
20%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 1979 |
MTV
1 - 1
EIN
42%
26%
32%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
SC Freiburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 1979 |
SCF
1 - 3
MUN
39%
27%
34%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1979 |
SCF
0 - 0
SGF
47%
26%
27%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1979 |
BNE
4 - 0
SCF
43%
26%
32%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 1979 |
HOM
0 - 0
SCF
64%
21%
15%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1979 |
SCF
2 - 0
FSV
63%
21%
16%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | +1 |