MTV Ingolstadt vs 1. FC Saarbrücken analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.3%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
9%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
44.1%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
1. FC Saarbrücken
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 1978 |
MUN
2 - 0
SAA
58%
23%
20%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1978 |
SAA
1 - 2
MSV
32%
26%
42%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 1978 |
HER
1 - 1
SAA
73%
16%
11%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1978 |
SAA
0 - 1
MON
22%
25%
54%
|
72 | 89 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1978 |
RTV
4 - 2
SAA
59%
22%
18%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |