MTV Ingolstadt vs ASV Neumarkt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.2%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
14.6%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MTV Ingolstadt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2000 |
NUR
0 - 4
MTV
68%
19%
13%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2000 |
MTV
0 - 0
KEM
39%
26%
35%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1995 |
FRO
1 - 0
MTV
55%
24%
22%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | -2 |
| 20 May. 1995 |
MTV
1 - 2
FEA
62%
22%
16%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1995 |
SCH
1 - 1
MTV
71%
18%
11%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
ASV Neumarkt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2000 |
NEU
0 - 0
WEI
26%
27%
47%
|
20 | 37 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2000 |
SCS
1 - 2
NEU
67%
20%
13%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1993 |
NEU
0 - 4
TEN
30%
23%
47%
|
21 | 56 | 35 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 1978 |
FCN
4 - 0
NEU
90%
7%
3%
|
21 | 76 | 55 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1974 |
F95
6 - 0
NEU
89%
8%
3%
|
21 | 81 | 60 | 0 |