MTV Ingolstadt vs FC Augsburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.3%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.9%
32.8%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MTV Ingolstadt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1979 |
WUR
2 - 1
MTV
54%
24%
21%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1979 |
MTV
0 - 0
MUN
23%
26%
51%
|
52 | 76 | 24 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 1979 |
BNE
3 - 2
MTV
65%
18%
17%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 1979 |
MTV
3 - 0
FSV
39%
26%
35%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | +2 |
| 11 Mar. 1979 |
FCH
4 - 0
MTV
53%
21%
26%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
FC Augsburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1979 |
SGF
3 - 1
AUG
64%
21%
15%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1979 |
AUG
1 - 1
HOM
29%
25%
46%
|
56 | 76 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1979 |
OFC
5 - 0
AUG
78%
14%
8%
|
56 | 73 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1979 |
AUG
1 - 0
WWO
44%
28%
29%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 1979 |
SCF
3 - 0
AUG
64%
20%
16%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | -1 |