MTV Ingolstadt vs Bayreuth SpVgg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.8%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
34.8%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MTV Ingolstadt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 1980 |
ESV
2 - 2
MTV
48%
25%
27%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1980 |
MTV
2 - 1
SVS
40%
24%
36%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 1980 |
WUR
1 - 3
MTV
51%
25%
24%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 1980 |
MTV
1 - 1
BUR
59%
21%
20%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1979 |
FRE
2 - 2
MTV
66%
19%
15%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Bayreuth SpVgg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 1980 |
BAY
5 - 2
TUS
90%
7%
3%
|
70 | 37 | 33 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1980 |
BAY
3 - 3
KSC
46%
24%
30%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1980 |
ULM
1 - 2
BAY
32%
28%
40%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1980 |
BAY
4 - 0
WWO
59%
22%
20%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 1980 |
HOM
2 - 1
BAY
50%
24%
26%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | -1 |