MTV Eintracht Celle vs BW Papenburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.8%
Win probability
3.2
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
3%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
6.1%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
1.4%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.7%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
2.6%
6-3
0.6%
7-4
0.1%
+3
15.8%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
4.1%
5-3
1.1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.3%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
1.1%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
13.4%
11.8%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
6º
18º
8º
24
6º
18º
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
18º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
77 | 77 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
74 | 74 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
65 | 65 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
56 | 59 |
5º
|
64% | |
|
5º
|
57 | 57 |
6º
|
64% | |
|
6º
|
56 | 56 |
7º
|
84% | |
|
|
8º
|
49 | 49 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
45 | 45 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
44 | 44 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 43 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
41 | 41 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
38 | 38 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
35 | 35 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
35 | 35 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
31 | 31 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
29 | 29 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
|
18º
|
24 | 24 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MTV Eintracht Celle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
ROT
2 - 0
MEC
19%
20%
61%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
MEC
3 - 1
RAE
63%
18%
19%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | +2 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
SCH
4 - 4
MEC
43%
21%
36%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
MEC
5 - 1
TSV
68%
17%
16%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
SVE
4 - 6
MEC
75%
14%
11%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | +2 |
Matches
BW Papenburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
BWP
0 - 4
TUB
31%
22%
47%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
GIF
4 - 3
BWP
29%
22%
49%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
GER
2 - 0
BWP
74%
15%
11%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
AHO
3 - 2
BWP
68%
17%
16%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
ROT
1 - 3
BWP
37%
23%
41%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | +1 |