Hohenwestedt vs VfR Neumunster analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.5%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.5%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
48.7%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
7º
15º
14º
19
7º
14º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 72 |
1º
|
70.5% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 68 |
2º
|
41% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 65 |
3º
|
50.5% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 57 |
4º
|
84% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 45 |
5º
|
34% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 44 |
6º
|
25% | |
|
6º
|
28 | 42 |
7º
|
15.5% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 41 |
8º
|
14% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 38 |
9º
|
18% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 38 |
10º
|
15.5% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 37 |
11º
|
14% | |
|
12º
|
21 | 32 |
12º
|
19% | |
|
|
13º
|
19 | 30 |
13º
|
25% | |
|
|
14º
|
18 | 29 |
14º
|
31.5% | |
|
15º
|
12 | 23 |
15º
|
67% | |
|
16º
|
7 | 12 |
16º
|
92.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
51.5% | 63.5% |
|
Relegation
|
48.5% | 36.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hohenwestedt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
UNI
2 - 2
HOH
82%
11%
7%
|
23 | 41 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
HOH
3 - 1
PRR
30%
22%
48%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | +2 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
LUB
1 - 2
HOH
67%
17%
17%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
HOH
0 - 6
EIC
17%
22%
61%
|
22 | 49 | 27 | -2 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
HEI
3 - 2
HOH
79%
12%
9%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
VfR Neumunster
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
PRR
1 - 2
VFR
36%
23%
41%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
VFR
0 - 1
EIC
12%
20%
68%
|
31 | 50 | 19 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
DOR
0 - 2
VFR
23%
21%
56%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
VFR
3 - 3
EUT
51%
22%
28%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
KIL
2 - 0
VFR
53%
21%
26%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | -1 |