Hohenwestedt vs Dornbreite Lübeck analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.5%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.8%
29.7%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-52%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
7º
15º
14º
7
3º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 72 |
1º
|
70.5% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 68 |
2º
|
41% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 65 |
3º
|
50.5% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 57 |
4º
|
84% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 45 |
5º
|
34% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 44 |
6º
|
25% | |
|
6º
|
28 | 42 |
7º
|
15.5% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 41 |
8º
|
14% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 38 |
9º
|
18% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 38 |
10º
|
15.5% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 37 |
11º
|
14% | |
|
12º
|
21 | 32 |
12º
|
19% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 30 |
13º
|
25% | |
|
|
14º
|
18 | 29 |
14º
|
31.5% | |
|
15º
|
12 | 23 |
15º
|
67% | |
|
|
16º
|
7 | 12 |
16º
|
92.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
51.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
48.5% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hohenwestedt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2024 |
UNI
4 - 1
HOH
79%
12%
9%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2024 |
HOH
0 - 1
DOR
56%
20%
24%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
HOH
1 - 1
HEI
20%
18%
62%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2024 |
HOH
2 - 1
ECK
21%
20%
59%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | +2 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
FLE
4 - 3
HOH
84%
10%
6%
|
20 | 40 | 20 | +1 |
Matches
Dornbreite Lübeck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
VHG
7 - 0
DOR
80%
12%
8%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
DOR
2 - 7
LUB
7%
14%
80%
|
21 | 55 | 34 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
LUB
0 - 1
DOR
76%
14%
10%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2024 |
HOH
0 - 1
DOR
56%
20%
24%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
DOR
1 - 2
NOR
33%
21%
46%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |