Hohenwestedt vs Dornbreite Lübeck analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.7%
24.3%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-29%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
8º
16º
13º
32
8º
15º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 75 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 70 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
47 | 47 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 29 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 21 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
17 | 18 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hohenwestedt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2024 |
HOH
1 - 1
HEI
20%
18%
62%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2024 |
HOH
2 - 1
ECK
21%
20%
59%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | +3 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
FLE
4 - 3
HOH
84%
10%
6%
|
20 | 39 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
HOH
1 - 1
LUB
20%
19%
61%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2024 |
HOH
0 - 0
FLE
10%
14%
76%
|
17 | 41 | 24 | +2 |
Matches
Dornbreite Lübeck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2024 |
DOR
1 - 2
NOR
33%
21%
46%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
DOR
3 - 1
WEF
60%
19%
21%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
ECK
3 - 1
DOR
76%
15%
9%
|
18 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2024 |
EIC
3 - 0
DOR
86%
10%
4%
|
17 | 45 | 28 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
VFR
2 - 0
DOR
64%
19%
18%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | 0 |