Champions League 1/16
Global 6-0
MTK Budapest vs TS Polonia Bytom analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.2%
Win probability
3.23
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
3%
5-0
3%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
6%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
1.5%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.6%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
2.7%
6-3
0.7%
7-4
0.1%
8-5
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
4.2%
5-3
1.2%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.9%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
18.2%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
1%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
13.5%
12.3%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MTK Budapest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1958 |
TSP
0 - 3
MTK
32%
21%
48%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1955 |
MTK
4 - 4
REI
45%
22%
33%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 1955 |
REI
4 - 2
MTK
74%
15%
11%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 1955 |
AND
1 - 4
MTK
80%
12%
8%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | +2 |
| 07 Sep. 1955 |
MTK
6 - 3
AND
38%
22%
41%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
TS Polonia Bytom
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1958 |
TSP
0 - 3
MTK
32%
21%
48%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | 0 |