Cup Winners Cup 1/16
Global 4-2
MTK Budapest vs Sparta Praha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.2%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
22.5%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MTK Budapest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1969 |
MTK
1 - 1
MAG
50%
22%
28%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1969 |
MAG
1 - 0
MTK
67%
18%
15%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1964 |
SCP
1 - 0
MTK
81%
11%
8%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 May. 1964 |
SCP
3 - 3
MTK
82%
11%
7%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1964 |
MTK
4 - 0
CEL
54%
21%
25%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Sparta Praha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 1973 |
SPA
0 - 1
ACM
34%
24%
42%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1973 |
ACM
1 - 0
SPA
87%
9%
5%
|
82 | 90 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1973 |
SPA
3 - 0
S04
63%
19%
19%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1973 |
S04
2 - 1
SPA
64%
19%
17%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1972 |
SPA
4 - 1
FTC
55%
22%
22%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | +1 |