Q. Europa League 1ra Ronda Final
Global 2-3
MTK Budapest vs Senica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.2%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
32.6%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MTK Budapest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2012 |
MTK
0 - 0
GYR
87%
10%
3%
|
70 | 43 | 27 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
SZI
2 - 1
MTK
14%
22%
64%
|
72 | 50 | 22 | -2 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
MTK
7 - 1
FER
80%
14%
5%
|
72 | 44 | 28 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
SOP
1 - 1
MTK
7%
18%
75%
|
72 | 39 | 33 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2012 |
BUD
0 - 3
MTK
7%
18%
75%
|
72 | 41 | 31 | 0 |
Matches
Senica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2012 |
KOS
0 - 0
SEN
29%
28%
43%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2012 |
SEN
5 - 1
DAC
81%
15%
5%
|
78 | 57 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
NIT
1 - 0
SEN
31%
28%
41%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2012 |
ZIL
3 - 2
SEN
47%
24%
29%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2012 |
SEN
2 - 0
RUZ
54%
25%
21%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | +1 |