MTK Budapest vs Puskás Akadémia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.2%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
31.2%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
1º
6º
5º
35
1º
4º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
36 | 58 |
1º
|
36% | |
|
|
2º
|
35 | 54 |
2º
|
18.5% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 53 |
3º
|
12% | |
|
3º
|
31 | 53 |
4º
|
19.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
30 | 51 |
5º
|
15.5% | |
|
6º
|
28 | 50 |
6º
|
17.5% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 46 |
7º
|
23.5% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 40 |
8º
|
23% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 39 |
9º
|
19.5% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 34 |
10º
|
26.5% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 34 |
11º
|
26.5% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 33 |
12º
|
36.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
4% | 20.5% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
26% | 40% |
|
Mid-table
|
70% | 39.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MTK Budapest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
MTK
2 - 2
GYO
65%
20%
15%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2024 |
NYI
2 - 0
MTK
29%
25%
47%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
MTK
1 - 1
ZTE
51%
23%
26%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2024 |
SZE
0 - 3
MTK
20%
21%
59%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
MTK
4 - 1
UJP
46%
25%
30%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Puskás Akadémia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
NYI
0 - 3
PUS
30%
26%
44%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
ZTE
4 - 2
PUS
39%
26%
35%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
PUS
1 - 1
UJP
47%
26%
27%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2024 |
TAT
2 - 3
PUS
8%
16%
76%
|
78 | 51 | 27 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
PUS
1 - 1
DIO
45%
26%
29%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |