MTK Budapest vs Paksi FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.2%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.9%
2-0
5%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.9%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
39.4%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
1º
6º
5º
31
3º
7º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
36 | 57 |
1º
|
25% | |
|
1º
|
38 | 57 |
2º
|
23.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
31 | 55 |
3º
|
18% | |
|
4º
|
31 | 52 |
4º
|
16% | |
|
|
5º
|
30 | 51 |
5º
|
22% | |
|
6º
|
28 | 49 |
6º
|
18% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 43 |
7º
|
20% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 41 |
8º
|
16% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 40 |
9º
|
21.5% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 37 |
10º
|
25.5% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 34 |
11º
|
29.5% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 33 |
12º
|
43.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
3.5% | 19% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
28% | 35% |
|
Mid-table
|
68.5% | 46% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MTK Budapest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
MTK
0 - 1
PUS
44%
25%
31%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
MTK
2 - 2
GYO
65%
20%
15%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2024 |
NYI
2 - 0
MTK
29%
25%
47%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
MTK
1 - 1
ZTE
51%
23%
26%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2024 |
SZE
0 - 3
MTK
20%
21%
59%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Paksi FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2024 |
NYI
4 - 2
PAK
22%
22%
55%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
PAK
2 - 2
ZTE
54%
23%
23%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
UJP
0 - 0
PAK
33%
23%
44%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
PAK
3 - 4
DIO
52%
24%
24%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2024 |
BUD
1 - 5
PAK
9%
14%
77%
|
79 | 61 | 18 | -1 |