MTK Budapest vs Kecskeméti analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.6%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
31.8%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
1º
9º
9º
5
6º
11º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
15 | 60 |
1º
|
34.5% | |
|
4º
|
10 | 56 |
2º
|
18.5% | |
|
1º
|
15 | 55 |
3º
|
17.5% | |
|
8º
|
7 | 50 |
4º
|
12.5% | |
|
7º
|
9 | 48 |
5º
|
11.5% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 47 |
6º
|
12% | |
|
3º
|
10 | 46 |
7º
|
9.5% | |
|
6º
|
9 | 45 |
8º
|
12.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
9 | 45 |
9º
|
12% | |
|
|
11º
|
5 | 41 |
10º
|
14.5% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 31 |
11º
|
41% | |
|
12º
|
4 | 24 |
12º
|
71.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
2.5% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
9% | 5% |
|
Mid-table
|
79.5% | 76.5% |
|
Relegation
|
9% | 18.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MTK Budapest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
MTK
1 - 3
FTC
35%
26%
40%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
HOD
0 - 2
MTK
3%
9%
87%
|
71 | 35 | 36 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
FHV
1 - 0
MTK
53%
23%
24%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
PUS
1 - 0
MTK
50%
24%
26%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
GYO
1 - 2
MTK
23%
24%
53%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Kecskeméti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
ZTE
2 - 1
KTE
43%
26%
31%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
KOZ
0 - 4
KTE
18%
22%
60%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
KTE
1 - 3
UJP
50%
25%
25%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
DIO
1 - 0
KTE
42%
26%
32%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
KTE
2 - 1
GYO
68%
20%
12%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | +1 |