Cup Winners Cup Quarter-finals
Global 2-5
MTK Budapest vs Hamburger SV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.4%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
29.4%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MTK Budapest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 1976 |
MTK
1 - 0
DTB
70%
16%
14%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1976 |
DTB
1 - 4
MTK
55%
21%
24%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1976 |
SPA
1 - 1
MTK
68%
18%
14%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 1976 |
MTK
3 - 1
SPA
55%
22%
23%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1969 |
MTK
1 - 1
MAG
50%
22%
28%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Hamburger SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 1977 |
HSV
1 - 1
F95
67%
19%
14%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1977 |
EIN
2 - 1
HSV
63%
20%
17%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 1977 |
HSV
5 - 3
ROT
64%
19%
17%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 1977 |
KAI
2 - 0
HSV
45%
25%
30%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 1977 |
HSV
5 - 3
BRE
68%
19%
13%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |