Cup Winners Cup Quarter-finals
Global 4-3
MTK Budapest vs Fenerbahçe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.2%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
24.7%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MTK Budapest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 1964 |
FEN
3 - 1
MTK
65%
19%
16%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1964 |
MTK
2 - 0
FEN
52%
23%
26%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 1963 |
MTK
2 - 0
ZWI
58%
20%
22%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 1963 |
ZWI
1 - 0
MTK
59%
20%
21%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 1963 |
SSO
1 - 1
MTK
53%
21%
26%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Fenerbahçe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 1964 |
ALT
2 - 1
FEN
25%
27%
48%
|
85 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1964 |
FEN
3 - 1
MTK
65%
19%
16%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1964 |
MTK
2 - 0
FEN
52%
23%
26%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1964 |
BJK
0 - 1
FEN
51%
24%
25%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1964 |
KAS
0 - 2
FEN
19%
24%
57%
|
85 | 59 | 26 | 0 |