Cup Winners Cup Quarter-finals
Global 4-3
MTK Budapest vs Fenerbahçe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.7%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
25.8%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MTK Budapest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 1963 |
MTK
2 - 0
ZWI
58%
20%
22%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1963 |
ZWI
1 - 0
MTK
59%
20%
21%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 1963 |
SSO
1 - 1
MTK
53%
21%
26%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1963 |
MTK
1 - 0
SSO
67%
17%
16%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 May. 1962 |
MTK
3 - 7
VCF
53%
22%
25%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Fenerbahçe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 1964 |
BJK
0 - 1
FEN
51%
24%
25%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1964 |
KAS
0 - 2
FEN
19%
24%
57%
|
85 | 59 | 26 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1964 |
FER
0 - 1
FEN
23%
28%
50%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1964 |
BEY
0 - 2
FEN
19%
22%
59%
|
85 | 59 | 26 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1964 |
FEN
0 - 0
BJK
56%
23%
21%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |