Cup Winners Cup Last 16
Global 5-1
MTK Budapest vs Dinamo Tbilisi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.4%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
7%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.9%
13.7%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MTK Budapest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 1976 |
DTB
1 - 4
MTK
55%
21%
24%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1976 |
SPA
1 - 1
MTK
68%
18%
14%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1976 |
MTK
3 - 1
SPA
55%
22%
23%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 1969 |
MTK
1 - 1
MAG
50%
22%
28%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1969 |
MAG
1 - 0
MTK
67%
18%
15%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Dinamo Tbilisi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 1976 |
DTB
1 - 4
MTK
55%
21%
24%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1976 |
DTB
3 - 0
CAR
75%
14%
11%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1976 |
CAR
1 - 0
DTB
34%
22%
43%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1973 |
TOT
5 - 1
DTB
87%
8%
4%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 1973 |
DTB
1 - 1
TOT
27%
25%
48%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |