Cup Winners Cup Semi-finals
Global 4-3
MTK Budapest vs Celtic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.2%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
25%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MTK Budapest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 1964 |
CEL
3 - 0
MTK
63%
19%
18%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1964 |
MTK
1 - 0
FEN
53%
22%
25%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1964 |
FEN
3 - 1
MTK
65%
19%
16%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1964 |
MTK
2 - 0
FEN
52%
23%
26%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 1963 |
MTK
2 - 0
ZWI
58%
20%
22%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1964 |
CEL
1 - 1
HOM
51%
22%
27%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1964 |
CEL
3 - 0
MTK
63%
19%
18%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1964 |
STJ
1 - 1
CEL
28%
24%
48%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1964 |
CEL
2 - 1
DUN
52%
22%
26%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1964 |
MHE
0 - 4
CEL
37%
24%
40%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |