Q. Europa League Primera Ronda Final
Global 3-1
MTK Budapest vs FC Aktobe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.8%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
34.6%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MTK Budapest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2016 |
FCA
1 - 1
MTK
45%
25%
30%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2016 |
MTK
2 - 0
ZEM
51%
26%
24%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2016 |
MTK
3 - 1
CHI
29%
26%
45%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2016 |
ČUK
0 - 3
MTK
49%
25%
26%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
MTK
0 - 2
VAS
51%
25%
24%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
FC Aktobe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2016 |
FCA
1 - 0
AKZ
58%
23%
19%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2016 |
FCA
1 - 1
MTK
45%
25%
30%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2016 |
OKZ
4 - 1
FCA
49%
26%
25%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2016 |
FCA
2 - 6
KAI
35%
28%
37%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Jun. 2016 |
FCI
4 - 1
FCA
53%
25%
22%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | -1 |