UEFA Youth League 1/64
Global 4-0
MTK Budapest U19 vs Jelgava U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.5%
Win probability
2.97
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.2%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.8%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.3%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.2%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.7%
11.4%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.4%
6%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MTK Budapest U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
MTK
1 - 1
BUD
80%
12%
7%
|
43 | 27 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
FER
1 - 2
MTK
16%
20%
64%
|
43 | 27 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
ILA
0 - 2
MTK
21%
21%
58%
|
42 | 29 | 13 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
MTK
3 - 2
PAK
75%
15%
10%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
FER
0 - 2
MTK
22%
22%
56%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | 0 |